For whatever reason I've developed the habit of reading two books at a time: one at home and one on my way to work. I just finished both "The Black Swan" (in paperback) and "The Future of Everything." Both are about forecasting and why it's so hard. Will put up a summary of both.
I have to say that about half way thru The Black Swan Taleb's arrogant personality does seem to fade into the background, so if you can get there it's worth the effort.
And while "The Future of Everything" is a bit of a tome, the going is very easy and he does draw some good conclusions between weather, finance, and health-related forecasting.
Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in April - Here is the earlier post on Case-Shiller: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.5% year-over-year in April It has been *more than ten years*...
55 minutes ago